A predicted grade is the teacher’s estimation of the grade the candidate is expected to achieve in the subject. A predicted grade should be based on:
- all the evidence of the candidate’s work
- the teacher’s knowledge of IB standards.
Predicted grades are required for all subjects, and also for TOK and the EE. It is important that each prediction is made as accurately as possible, without under-predicting or over-predicting the grade.
Predicted grades are used for grade award meetings when considering a subject’s grade distributions and the performance of individual candidates. A check on the appropriateness of results is made by comparing awarded grades with predicted grades. If there are significant discrepancies, further reviews may be conducted. Predicted grades are not used in calculations for candidates affected by adverse circumstances, including candidates with incomplete assessment for one or more components for whom calculations are made using global or school averages.
Teachers predicting grades should use the following scales.
- Grades are awarded to candidates in each subject on a scale of 1 to 7, with 7 being the highest grade.
- For TOK and the EE, the grades are on a scale of A to E, with A being the highest grade. A predicted grade is not required for language A: literature SL school supported self-taught candidates.
Whether predicted grades should be released to candidates is left to the discretion of the school.
Source: Diploma Programme Assessment Procedures (2019)